Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.057867e-03 0.001200 0.001344 0.001500 0.001663 0.001829 0.002009
2025-05-18 7.184791e-04 0.000926 0.001147 0.001397 0.001668 0.001951 0.002268
2025-05-25 4.836850e-04 0.000734 0.001016 0.001349 0.001723 0.002124 0.002583
2025-06-01 2.991173e-04 0.000568 0.000894 0.001298 0.001767 0.002283 0.002884
2025-06-08 1.762770e-04 0.000450 0.000812 0.001282 0.001845 0.002478 0.003225
2025-06-15 1.080178e-04 0.000386 0.000788 0.001329 0.001993 0.002750 0.003654
2025-06-22 4.521710e-05 0.000301 0.000723 0.001319 0.002068 0.002937 0.003985
2025-06-29 1.129776e-05 0.000238 0.000676 0.001324 0.002160 0.003140 0.004334
2025-07-06 5.331621e-07 0.000205 0.000667 0.001376 0.002305 0.003405 0.004753
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000149 0.000609 0.001357 0.002358 0.003558 0.005040
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000098 0.000545 0.001321 0.002385 0.003678 0.005287
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000077 0.000534 0.001358 0.002505 0.003907 0.005660
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000044 0.000486 0.001347 0.002575 0.004092 0.006001
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000009 0.000395 0.001262 0.002544 0.004156 0.006204
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000338 0.001224 0.002576 0.004298 0.006502
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001181 0.002598 0.004427 0.006785
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000248 0.001170 0.002664 0.004611 0.007134
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000244 0.001218 0.002813 0.004901 0.007613
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000214 0.001210 0.002879 0.005084 0.007961
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000194 0.001217 0.002967 0.005294 0.008341
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000194 0.001268 0.003119 0.005586 0.008822
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000165 0.001249 0.003166 0.005742 0.009134
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000134 0.001216 0.003187 0.005862 0.009401